29 March 2006  --  Total Solar Eclipse (TSE2006)

Glenn Schneider, Steward Observatory, University of Arizona,Tucson Arizona 85721 USA

If the weather co-operates on 26 March 2006, TSE 2006 will be observed from Side, Turkey:

PRIMARY SITE

Latitude = 36 47 15 N, Longitude = 31 22 38.7 E

Duration of Totality = 3m 45s

CONTACT
UT
Alt
Az
Pang
Vang
First
09 38 19.6
56.3
171
227
126
Second
10 54 53.7
54.3
204
49
330
Mid-Eclipse
10 56 48.9
54.1
205
N/A
63
Third
10 58 44.2
54.0
206
226
156
Last
12 13 28.9
44.6
231
49
348

Our currently selected primary observing site  is on centerline (middle of three blue lines) of the path of totality on the southern coast of Turkey on the Gulf of Antalia near Selimye (see above below). The region is serviced by the Antalya International Airport, which itself is in within the path of totality. The southern coastal road traverses the path from northern to southern limit.   Our site, LOCATED ON THIS SATELLITE PHOTOGRAPH, is on the grounds of the Sunrise Queen Hotel in the town of Side.



If the local weather threatens the eclipse obervations, but is likely to be predicatbly better
with high certainty we will reloactae elsewhere in the path of totality by vehicle, or by air if a larger distance needs to be travelled to secure clear skies.  If there is a high degree of expectation of cloud-cover over thge path of totality (in Turkey) with little likelihood of success from the ground we will use the aircraft to observe TSE2006 from the air (above the clouds).




A. Air Contingency #1: Relocation

Six airfields have been identified within the path of totality (highlighted in green) with sufficient infrastructures to potentially allow "last minute" repositioning to observe TSE2006.  Unfortunately, one of those, TOKAT, will be out of service.  On an earlier posted page, the duration of totality at ach of airfields (and circumstances for others outside of the path) are listed. The operational status and avialability/suitability of those individual airfields should be investigated (consult NOTMS and other sources) if anyone is planning to use them. 

Presumptively basing in (or near) Antalya, FLIGHT DISTANCES (One-Way) From (1) ANTALYA AIRPORT (LTAI) to the five other highlighted sights are given below:

               km   mi   nM
(1) ANTALYA:   0    0    0
(2) KONYA:     197  122  106

(3) NEVSEHIR:  387  240  209
(4) KAYSERI:   462  287  250      
(5) TOKAT:     614  381  332 (expected to be closed)
(6) SIVAS:     622  387  336

Click on the airfield names (above) for satellite images.


Path of Totality Across Turkey - Airfields in the Path of Totality.
Click on Map to View at FULL SIZE.




B.  Air Contingency  #2: Observations over Turkey


To observe the total phase of the eclipse from the air, an aircraft must:
(1) be located at the center of the Moon's shadow as the shadow passes over the aircraft , and
(2) the aircraft must be flying a heading to permit viewing the eclipse out of the cabin windows.

Details computing and optimizing fight plans for airborne eclipse observations are discussed in conjunction with the EFLIGHT S/W here, which has been upated for TSE 2006.

1. The location path of the eclipse varies with altitude above sea-level, but is readily computable.  As examples, the latitude and longitude of the CENTERLINE of the path of totality are tabulated as functions of time (UTC = GMT) in following tables for flight elevations of 32,000 ft to 44,000 ft in 2000 ft increments and time steps of 10 seconds along the entire path of totality over Turkey:

  DIRECTORY of CENTERLINE FILES:

In addition to time, latitude, and longitude these files give the Duration of Totality (in seconds as would be seen from a STATIONARY observer, i.e., before correcting for the motion of an aircraft), The width of the shadow in kilometers, and the Altitude and Azimuth of the Sun at mid eclipse)

2. The aircraft must be flying on a heading to intercept the Moon's shadow at a specific location on centerline (for a given flight altitude) at the corresponding time.  The aircraft heading must be equal (or very close) to the azimuth of the Sun (at mid eclipse) minus 90 degrees (i.e., so the aircraft has a velocity component in the direction of motion of the Moon' shadow, not against it).

Additionally:

3. To enable image acquisition by on-board observers, the aircraft must be flying on that heading to achieve an appropriate mid-eclipse intercept sufficiently ahead of second contactHere, for planning purposes in this specific case, the "totality run" is defined to start at CII - 5 minutes, and will "break off" at CIII + 9 minutes (permiting appx 2 minutes of post CIII viewing of the Sun as well).


Baseline planning is predicated upon following assumptions, which may be somewhat different in actual detail or implementation:

A) Use of Raytheon Hawker-400 jet aircraft or similar:
  - Climb to altitude: 18 minutes
  - Cruise 450 kt (833 km/hr)
  - Service Ceiling: 45,000 ft.

B) T/O and Landing from Antalya, Turkey (Int'l Airport)
  - Lat = 36d 54' N, 30d 48' E

C) Total flight time T/O to Landing = 1 hour


A "BASELINE" Scenario is presented - which closely minimizes the flying distance (and thus time) from Antalya:

Baseline Scenario for Mid-Eclipse Intercept:

 i) Flight Altitude = 40,000 ft*
 ii) U.T. of mid-Eclipse Intercept = 10:57:50 U.T.
 iii) Cruise speed = 450kt

It must be noted that the altitude of the Sun (angular degrees above the horizon) is 53.6 degrees at this location.  This SHOULD be observable out the aircraft windows with some neck craning (but needs to be confirmed), in straight and level flight, BUT it would be highly desirable if the aircraft could be banked (tilted) - while still flying on a fixed heading - by whatever amount may be accommodated to "lower" the sun as seen through the aircraft windows.  An intercept point chosen later in time (further to the North East) would have the Sun at a somewhat lower altitude - at the expense of additional flying time.  For this baseline scenario, a 10:57:50 UT intercept is considered because of the short flight distance.  Clearly, that can be adjusted.  Note that 1 minute of flying time - parallel to the centerline of the path of totality - (after reaching altitude and nomincal cruise speed) would move the intercept point by appx 7.5 nautical miles along the path of totatlity.

The baseline plan assumes a "no wind" condition, this a ground speed of also 450 kt.  This likely will not be the case, and the details of the mid-intercept can easily be adjusted for the prevailing wind conditions.


At 10:57:50 U.T. and 40,000 ft flight level, the point of mid-Eclipse intercept is:

   Mid-Eclipse Coordinates: 37d 02.86'N, 31d 46.47'E

The azimuth of the Sun at that time is: 206 deg, so the aircraft heading would be 116 degrees.

The run-start position, for this scenario (5 minutes before mid-eclipse) at 10:52:50 U.T is:

   Start of totality Run:  37d 20.07'N, 31d 02.56'E


The aircraft CANNOT be late, in arriving at the totality-run start position.  The ground-track distance from the Antalya airport is short, only 28.5 nautical miles (53 km), but I presume a nominal rate of climb from T/O, reaching a 40,000 ft flight altitude in 18 minutes (to be confimed with the flight/aircraft operations crew).  The aircraft can arrive "early" at this point and "hold" by maneuvering (circling) to then turn onto the totality-run heading at that position at 10:52:UT.  Alternatively, if the aircraft arrives at the position early it can fly parallel to the totality track from that point (at a heading of appx 26.5 deg) and then execute a 90 degree, right, heading realignment at the appropriate difference in time to enable a central mid-umbra intercept further NE along the track.  this is easily recomputed in real-time.

In either case duration of appx 30 minutes from an ON TIME takeoff to mid-eclipse would be sufficient with a few "extra" minutes of contingency time built in.  The need for an ON TIME take-off is paramout, and must be stressed.  Alternatively we would need to build in more contingency time and then "hold" or execute a totality-run further NE along the tract if we takeoff at a planned earlier time.

We will stay on the totality-run track until mid-eclipse + 4 minutes (11:01:50 UT), and then execute a heading alignment maneuver and nominal descent for a landing back at Antalya.  That's 75 nautical miles back to Antalya, which we would cover as we descend.  Again, I estimate 18 minutes (but might be slighly different).

Hence, the total flight duration would be (about 8 minutes) less than an hour - but we SHOULD plan on some "extra" contingency time on the front end.  Not clear if 8 minutes additional contingeny minutes is enough.




The above scenario is illustrated below: